Lukas F. Stoetzer
Post-doc Political Science. Research on Political Behaviour and Political Methodology
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31 January 2018 Publication, European Journal of Political Research
To what extent do economic concerns drive anti-migrant attitudes? Key theoretical arguments extract two central motives: increased labour market competition and the fiscal burden linked to the influx of migrants. This article provides new evidence regarding the impact of material self-interest on attitudes towards immigrants. It reports the results of a survey experiment embedded in representative surveys in 15 European countries before and after the European refugee crisis in 2014. As antici... Read more
7 August 2017 Workshop Simulation in R
In this workshop we will learn how to use simulation to present results from genalized regression models.
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16 July 2017 Publication, West European Politics
In times of increasing globalization scholars put considerable effort into understanding the consequences of immigration for the welfare state. One important factor in this respect is public support for the welfare state and redistribution. This article presents results from a unique survey experiment and a panel study in three European countries (Norway, Germany, and the Netherlands) to examine whether and how individuals change their preference for redistribution when faced with immigration... Read more
10 May 2017 Website, zweitstimme.org
Together with Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, Marcel Neunhoeffer and Sebastian Sternberg I designed a website that publishes forecast for the German Federal Election of 2017. Our model combines historical information about German elections with current Poll data. Our aim is to accompany the campaign for the 2017 Bundestag election with scientifically sound forecasts. You will find the website here: [zweitstimme.org]
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2 February 2017 Publication, British Journal of Political Science
The application of spatial voting theories to popular elections presupposes an electorate that chooses political representatives on the basis of their well- structured policy preferences. Behavioral researchers have long contended that parts of the electorate rather hold unstructured and inconsistent policy beliefs. In this article, I propose an extension to spatial voting theories to analyze the effect of varying consistency in policy preferences on electoral behavior. The model results in t... Read more